London, 2019-03-23: Two Million Friends of Europe

Put it to the people

— Led By Donkeys (@ByDonkeys) March 23, 2019

2 million friends or Europe enjoyed an early Spring Saturday in London.


Actually, Brian, they do. Always. For operational reasons. They used to release them, but they stopped as it was contentious. But they still give unofficial estimates privately. And they always do two calculations. The first is based on special calculations and a rule of thumb >

— Alex Andreou (@sturdyAlex) March 23, 2019

>assumed density of 3.5 people per square metre. They then, however, continue updating this estimate with a second stage calculation that looks at people still joining the back of a march and an updated density ratio based on how long a demo takes to get between two fixed points>

— Alex Andreou (@sturdyAlex) March 23, 2019

>That is why final estimates often differ. Because some matches are much more tightly packed and slow moving than others. This updated ratio can change the calculation dramatically. In this case, the 1m estimate first surfaced before the front started moving. After that point>

— Alex Andreou (@sturdyAlex) March 23, 2019

>and this is very important, the police advised the front of the march to start moving annhour earlier than they had intended, because they were experiencing “unusually high density and rate of people joining at the back” and became concerned. People continued arriving in a>

— Alex Andreou (@sturdyAlex) March 23, 2019

>regular stream for at least two more hours. And according to everyone on the march it was unusually tightly packed and slow moving. This makes the original 1m estimate, very unreliable. But having released it, I suspect, organisers did not want to update, as they would face>

— Alex Andreou (@sturdyAlex) March 23, 2019

>accusations precisely like this. 1m is a great, iconic number anyway. At the end of the march the police unofficial rough estimate to organisers was closer to 2m. Had this confirmed by two separate sources. It may be wrong, but it’s more reliable than the static 1pm figure. END

— Alex Andreou (@sturdyAlex) March 23, 2019


They use software and aerial footage that basically counts a line of people and multiplies them by the volume of the location. I was told by contacts in the Met that two million was their estimate (I posted this but took it down as I can't prove my sources).

— UK4Europe #FBPE 🇪🇺🇬🇧 (@UK4Europe) March 24, 2019

Italy: A Little Help from Putin

Huge story breaking in Italy. Putin agreed to a request from Lega Nord leader Matteo Salvini to covertly finance his Euro election campaign. The plan was to conceal the payment behind an apparently normal business deal. Sound familiar? via @espressonline

— David Clark (@David_K_Clark) February 22, 2019

 leggi di più

Now it's available in German too. Publisher is an Austrian social-democratic magazine.

— Goetz Kluge (@Bonnetmaker) February 22, 2019


In English.

— Goetz Kluge (@Bonnetmaker) February 22, 2019

 read more

Electoral Integrity in the Run up to the European Parliamentary Elections

Launched today: ISD's new report uncovers the online information campaigns active in the 2018 Bavarian State Election. The report sets out recommendations to strengthen electoral integrity in the run up to the European Parliamentary elections and beyond

— Institute for Strategic Dialogue (@ISDglobal) February 15, 2019


— Goetz Kluge (@Bonnetmaker) February 15, 2019


How Anti-Europeans Plan to Wreck Europe

No time to read our brand new scorecard on how anti-European parties will incapacitate the European Parliament after the #EUelections2019? Listen to @markhleonard, @sd270 and @PawelZerka discussing the results of this EU wide study. #podcast #WorldIn30

— ECFR (@ecfr) February 12, 2019

Just published: Our latest report finds that anti-European parties are on course to win the third of seats in @Europarl_EN #EUelections2019 necessary to paralyse
the #EU: @PawelZerka @ECFRPower

— ECFR (@ecfr) February 11, 2019


The 2019 European election: How anti-Europeans plan to wreck Europe and what can be done to stop it
European Council on Foreign Relations
Authors: Susi Dennison and Pawel Zerka
Published: February 2019


  • With anti-Europeans on their way to winning more than one-third of seats in the next European Parliament, the stakes in the May 2019 election are unusually high.
  • While there are significant divides between them on substance, anti-European parties could align with one another tactically in support of a range of ideas: from abolishing sanctions on Russia to blocking the EU’s foreign trade agenda, to pulling the drawbridge up against migration. This would put at risk Europe’s capacity to defend its citizens from external threats at exactly the time when, given global turmoil, it needs to show more resolve, cooperation, and global leadership.
  • This paper marks the start of ECFR’s campaign to strengthen Europe in the face of efforts by anti-European parties to divide it and make it weaker. We analyse, in detail, the political situation in each of the EU’s 27 member states ahead of the 2019 EP election.
  • For supporters of an outward-looking Europe, we offer a strategy to fight back: by driving a wedge between anti-European parties, exposing the real-world costs of their key policy ideas, and identifying new issues that could inspire voters: from the rule of law and the environment to prosperity and Europe’s foreign policy goals.
  • In the coming months, ECFR will explore these issues at a more granular level through quantitative and qualitative surveys across the EU27.


Merkel & Trump

In private meetings, Merkel & Trump have been almost epically mismatched, @sbg1 writes. “She talks about things that you get the impression he doesn’t fully grasp,” a German official told me. “It seemed like she was expecting too much of her audience.”

— David Rohde (@RohdeD) December 17, 2018

So honoured to find out my @NewYorker Angela Merkel illustration was accepted into the 2019 @CommArts Illustration Annual! ✨ Thanks so much to Nico Schweizer who art directed this piece and to @CommArts and this year's jury!!

— Chloe Cushman (@ChloeCushman) February 7, 2019

My @NewYorker Angela Merkel portrait has been selected for the @AmericanIllust 38 Annual! Excited to be in the book for the first time and alongside so many artists I admire. Thank you to the jury and @AmericanIllust!

— Chloe Cushman (@ChloeCushman) April 17, 2019


2018-12-17, updated: 2019-04-17

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